IDC offers the following predictions for 2012:
Tis the season for IT predictions and this years predictions are starting with some tried and try favorites. Cloud and mobile computing have been the “next big thing” for almost five years now and perhaps in 2013 we will start to see some of the earlier years predictions coming true. With the uptake of the iPad and other tablets we may now finally see some of these predictions come true. The ability to use ones own mobile phone or tablet to get real work done is finally a reality and this is will be putting significant pressure on IT departments to keep up.
One of the challenging predictions for IT is that “everyone will become an IT person”. What this really means is people are tired of hearing “NO” from IT and are using tools like Dropbox, Google docs and a wide assortment of free file sharing resources to get their work done without IT’s support. While this is great for the end user because they don’t have to deal with IT and can just get things done, the security risks involved in sharing corporate, government or academic data on some of these networks is significant and we may see 2013 or perhaps 2014 as the year of the renewed security threat.
IT departments that are currently facing this uncontrollable user driven shift only have themselves to blame. Cloud and mobile computing have been significant forces for many years now and there was plenty of time to develop strategies to work with Bring Your Own Device (BYOD) workers. Proper planning and proactive responses to the cloud and mobile trends would have prevented what many will see as a reactive response to this shift. Proactive planning would have also alleviated many of the security concerns that will become big news are a result of the BYOD trends that are driving change.
Perhaps the most accurate predictions is that 2013 will be a make or break year for many companies. IDC has suggested that that mobile phone and tablet companies that don’t attract interest from at least 50% of app developers won’t survive. Apple and Android are the market leaders so it is their lead to loose. Will RIM make it? Will Microsoft’s bet on Windows 8 on the phone, tablet and desktop be enough or is it too little too late? Will 2013 be the year of consolidation in the cloud and mobile space? Regardless, 2013 should prove to be an interesting and pivotal year.
The browser is just one more area Microsoft is loosing market share. I use Chrome and Firefox so I am not surprised by this change. This just one more sign pointing to our move into the Post-PC era.
In the article Four Ways the Post-PC Era Differs From Today in Forbes, Maribel Lopez makes the argument that the Post-PC era is not just a shift to mobile devices it is a shift in computing as we know it. Lopez points to four unique attributes that will characterize this era:
We really shouldn’t be surprised by the impact of the cloud. The Gartner Group, in their Top 10 Technologies for 2011 and the New Media Consortium in the Horizon Reports have been predicting this for several years.
While this is an obvious attempt by Microsoft to take shots at Google, they do raise some serious issues.
I have been using Dropbox since is beta days and thought I was getting the most out of the service. This article is a really good reminder that there is often so much more you can do with software and services if you are willing to invest some time in learning. I particularly like the following tip:
28 Give meeting participants iPads, and sync all of those tablets to the same Dropbox folder. You can then distribute meeting agendas and background materials instantly to everyone at the same time.
Even though the article was written by a Mac user all of the recommendations can be used by Windows and even Linux users.